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Intro To Commodity Trading

commodity_trading

This course is a broad overview and discussion of the salient subject areas that one will need to navigate to fully understand the commodity space.

  • Entering Orders
  • Common Mistakes
  • Rules and regulations
  • Markets and Exchanges
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Fundamental Analysis

fundamental_analysis

Students will be introduced to what makes each of the commodity sectors tick from an international economic standpoint.

  • Grains - corn, wheat, rice
  • Metals - gold, silver, copper
  • Energies - crude oil, gas
  • Softs - coffee, sugar, cocoa
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Technical
Analysis

technical_analysis

This course sets the record straight about what is a predictive indicator and what is a lagging indicator in the commodity markets.

  • Studies in Price
  • Volume & Open Interest
  • Technical Indicators
  • Markets in Backwardation
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Trading
Psychology

trading_psyc

This course investigates why certain traders become great and why others blow up. Be prepared to journal extensively and learn about your strengths and weaknesses.

  • What You've Learned About Money
  • How Personality Shows Up in Trading
  • Ego and Self-Esteem in Trading
  • Self-Awareness
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Archive for April, 2010

Financial Times Interview

April 29 2010 | 11:02 pm UTC

Financial Times reporter Stacy-Marie Ishmael interviews Michael Martin regarding OTC derivatives reform and trader compensation at the Milken Global Conference in Beverly Hills, April 28, 2010.

I think Stacy-Marie Ishmael is one of the most refreshing voices in financial journalism. I humbly suggest you follow her work.

Stacy-Marie Ishmael on Twitter

Watch her at the Milken Global Conference in Beverly Hills

Online News: The Frontier of Financial Journalism

Do Our Financial Models Still Work?

Read her at the Financial Times/Alphaville

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How To Trade The Cocoa Trend Reversal

April 28 2010 | 12:00 am UTC

cocoa.reversal.2 300x217 How To Trade The Cocoa Trend Reversal
(Click to enlarge)

Cocoa prices have rallied substantially since I wrote How To Marry Fundamental and Technical Analysis in Cocoa.

Besides the spreads, I noted that there was a 1-2-3 Trend Reversal underway in Cocoa. Every trader wants to pick a bottom to go long. While I understand that to be emotionally appealing, you can lose a ton by getting cute. You can see in the FutureSource chart, by following the rules, that the financial rewards can be worthwhile if you can be patient. Let the market activity unfold and act accordingly.

FutureSource Cocoa Settlement prices as of April 27:

cocoa.spreads1 300x117 How To Trade The Cocoa Trend Reversal
(Click to enlarge)

When you compare Cocoa settlement prices from April 1 to April 27, you see that the spreads between contract months have come in also – they’ve narrowed.

spreads.tightening 300x88 How To Trade The Cocoa Trend Reversal
(Click to enlarge)

If the demand for cocoa rises enough, you may see the market for cocoa change from what’s known as a carry-charge market (aka contango) to an inverted or market in backwardation. That means that the front months will be higher in price than each successive month.

The significance is that backwarded markets demand immediate delivery of existing production as fast as possible. In contrast, carry charge markets suggest storage.

The 1-2-3 Trend Reversal rules were first delineated in Methods of a Wall St. Master, by Victor Sperandeo. The rules are not particular to Cocoa and can be applied to any market.

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Victor Sperandeo: Greece Will Not End Well

April 27 2010 | 1:23 am UTC

Germany should not set the precedent of funding the PIIGS.

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Milken Global Conference 2010

April 25 2010 | 10:08 pm UTC

I’ll be at the Milken Global Conference this week and I have some great interviews lined up.

You can follow me on Twitter or send me questions @Martin_Kronicle. The hashtag is #gc2010.

Here is a detailed program of the speakers and topics for the 2010 Milken Global Conference.

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