Kronicle TV: How Can We Improve Our Financial Models?
Excessive leverage is at the heart of every meltdown.
July 20 2010
This course is a broad overview and discussion of the salient subject areas that one will need to navigate to fully understand the commodity space.

Students will be introduced to what makes each of the commodity sectors tick from an international economic standpoint.

This course sets the record straight about what is a predictive indicator and what is a lagging indicator in the commodity markets.

This course investigates why certain traders become great and why others blow up. Be prepared to journal extensively and learn about your strengths and weaknesses.
A former Tribe* member emailed about some feelings about losses:
“…..puking it up is the best way to describe for me the series of taking daily small losses. My question is…. how can we systematize a process for learning how to make this actually feel good?”
The systematizing part is easy as you know…it’s the making it feel good part that you have to work on. I’m not sure you have to make it feel good either. It already might be a good feeling that you’re just not used to. However, you might consider trying to visualize what you’re missing by doing the right thing (massive drawdowns that are emotionally destabilizing) by taking consistent small losses. :) That’s what I might do.
“It still feels like crap to me even though its the best thing to do. And I do it…but I feel like crap all day after doing the right thing.”
I can identify with that feeling and you know the question that’s coming next: “Where do you feel that feeling in your body?”
What do you think the “but I feel like crap all day after doing the right thing” part is trying to tell you?
How do you feel today feeling like this after taking the small loss? (Hint: Is it regret or frustration? And where do you feel those feelings in your body?)
* Tribe (short for Trading Tribe) is owned by Ed Seykota.
Read MorePaulson’s investing lessons:
1. Don’t Rely on Experts
2. Bubble Trouble
3. Focus on Debt Markets
4. Master New investments
5. Insurance Pays
6. Experience Counts
7. Don’t Fall In Love
8. Luck Helps
I like #7….
I mention in Covel’s movie Broke: The New American Dream that you cannot fall in love with a trade when you’re making money. You have to have a certain level of mistrust. Why? Because you never know why you’re making money in the first place. You may be lucky, you may be right in your fundamental analysis. You might be up for reasons you haven’t even considered.
Put your protective stop order in and enjoy the ride. And make sure you come out having made money – don’t let an otherwise winning trade become a loser or a break-even trade.
Read MoreJust posted a new story at LvM Institute called The ABCs of Bias: Puma, Crude Oil, and You.
Read MoreI’m quoted in a story on heating oil by ABC News. The liberal bitches cut out my best quote and in doing so left the story to be one of these BS Michael Moore syrupy sob stories. Below is the quote that was pulled from the very end of the story.
“Stable prices and cheap fuel are not our birthright,” argues the L.A. trader/instructor Martin. “This recent run up has everything to do with U.S. monetary policy and nothing to do with Wall Street speculators.”
I guess ABC ain’t anything like Fox…
Read MoreOne of PTJ’s strengths was that he had no emotional need to defend what he did 10 minutes ago.
The financial overhaul is just a speed bump, and a low one at that.
Budgets have to be reined in by cuts, not by raising taxes.
Podcast interview with Mebane Faber, author of The Ivy Portfolio and blogger at World Beta.
Does having financial broadcast media on during the day while you trade affect the number of transactions or types of trades a trader puts on?