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Intro To Commodity Trading

commodity_trading

This course is a broad overview and discussion of the salient subject areas that one will need to navigate to fully understand the commodity space.

  • Entering Orders
  • Common Mistakes
  • Rules and regulations
  • Markets and Exchanges
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Fundamental Analysis

fundamental_analysis

Students will be introduced to what makes each of the commodity sectors tick from an international economic standpoint.

  • Grains - corn, wheat, rice
  • Metals - gold, silver, copper
  • Energies - crude oil, gas
  • Softs - coffee, sugar, cocoa
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Technical
Analysis

technical_analysis

This course sets the record straight about what is a predictive indicator and what is a lagging indicator in the commodity markets.

  • Studies in Price
  • Volume & Open Interest
  • Technical Indicators
  • Markets in Backwardation
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Trading
Psychology

trading_psyc

This course discusses the successes and failures of some of the greatest traders and what the psychological issues were at the time.

  • Trading Systems Psychology
  • Types of Orders Psychology
  • Margin & Leverage Psychology
  • Self-Awareness
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Archive for January, 2008

Dr. Phil

January 31 2008 | 8:18 pm PST

Dr. Phil’s involvement with re-hospitalized B.S. artist was to pump ratings for him and his show. I’m not sure that it was a pure publicity stunt, but his goal from the start was to scoop his competish and get some free press.

All his pleadings aside today, which may be heart-felt, did not explain his true aim…increased ratings and exposure.

On this one though, he’s “all hat and no cattle.”

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Starbucks to Close Stores/End Sandwich Sales

January 30 2008 | 10:27 pm PST

In an effort to right his ailing baby, Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) honcho Howard Schultz said “…the scent of the warm sandwiches interferes with the coffee aroma in our stores.” I thought they’d do something more material – like start serving better coffee.

But no, Howie’s still not getting it. It’s not the sandwiches nor the breakfast deallies he’s begun to serve. It’s the horrible coffee and the bitter aftertaste. Peet’s makes good coffee, Starbucks makes good lattes. Starbucks is a coffee store, start with serving better coffee.

I’ve always thought that Starbucks served horrible, acidic coffee so that consumers would almost be forced to buy higher profit margin beverages, such as lattes and the frozen drinks. And don’t tell me about having “a Starbucks experience” either please – it’s not sex.

Like a GARP Value Investor, I want to buy my coffee in a CARP manner – Coffee At a Reasonable Price. Cutting coffee prices at the register to $1 is still too expensive for the coffee Starbucks serves. I’d bid $0.70 for a cup of coffee there. No, wait, I couldn’t even do that until they change the coffee. It just tastes too damn burnt.

And since I’m on a roll, when the Barista asks, “Leave room for milk?” that says to me “how much do you need to dilute this crap before you jam in your favorite sweetener, whatever the color of the packet is.”

After changing the coffee, Starbucks could give us incentives to drink the coffee too, like the MTA does in New York City when you buy a Transit Card. If we put $20 on the damn card, give us $22 worth of coffee. That’s the type of experience I’d like to have at a Starbucks.

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The Fed Rate Cut

The Fed cut rates today by 50 bps (basis points) or 1/2 of 1%. The Fed lowered what’s known as the “Fed Funds rate” to 3%. This is the interest rate banks pay one another for overnight loans. The AP reported that it’s at the lowest level since spring 2005. The Fed also lowered what’s knows as “the Discount Rate” to 3.50%. This rate is the interest the Fed charges banks on loans that the Fed itself makes to them.

This is the second Fed Funds rate cut in as many weeks – the last cut was an “emergency rate cut” of 75 bps or 3/4 of 1%. Adding it all up, you’re looking at a decline of 1.50% in key lending rates.

A “Basis Point,” as it is called, equals .01 of 1% (or one-hundreth of 1%). Financial-types use the term because it’s easier to discuss interest rates this way. So, if your mortgage rate gets readjusted from 7.25% to 7.55 %, you can say that your interest has gone up .3% or 30 bps (pronounced “bips”). From the example above, you could say that the Fed has lowered rates 1.50% or 150 “bips.”

What does these consecutive rate cuts mean for you? Nothing, you’re still screwed basically. Most likely, neither your mortgage, your student loans, your car payment, nor your credit card rates, or any other type of money you’ve borrowed will become cheaper as a result of the Federal Reserve’s recent activity. Only new activity will most likely be affected.

In case you haven’t stopped reading in utter disgust, the interest you receive in your savings account is probably going down, as will CD and Bond rates in the near future.

Ugh, what’s next – higher gas prices?

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Rudy’s New Gig

The Honorable Rudolph W. Giuliani has bowed out of the race for President and has quickly endorsed Senator John McCain for the post. “John McCain is the most qualified candidate to be the next commander in chief of the United States,” Giuliani said. “He’s an American hero,” Hizzoner said from Simi Valley, CA today.

After the endorsement, Rudy left hurriedly for Chicago where he began his new career as a CME Floor Trader in the Eurodollar pit. Below is a shot of America’s Mayor bidding up Eurodollars after today’s Fed rate cut.

rudyeurodollarpit.jpg

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My New Set of Tata’s

January 29 2008 | 11:14 pm PST

20080108_indiacar_graphic.jpg

Here is a artist’s rendition of what the new vehicle from Tata Motors will look like. It’s called Nano and it is the world’s cheapest car.

Priced at the equivalent of $2,500 I’m in for two of them given all the driving I do in LA – one for me, one for my girl.

At a combined price of $5,000, they will be the cheapest set of Tata’s ever sold in Beverly Hills.

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My mentor and I speak about Gold, commodity bubbles, Bernanke, Geithner, and I get him to answer a reader question about Market Timing.

Jeremy Siegel is still talking his book, literally.

Victor Sperandeo: Ben Bernanke never owned a future contract in his life. He might own a mutual fund, but my guess is he doesn’t know what’s in it.

Podcast with Daniel Amman.

“The price of gold is a referendum on the quantity and quality of paper money.”